Trump is a Success. Forget what he says. Look at what he does.

Liberals (including me) hate Trump.  We look at what he says, his fallacies, inconsistencies, morals, the people he chooses, the processes he uses.  But liberals fail to look at his amazingly successful achievements – what he does.  He is on his way to being one of the most successful, influential US Presidents of all time, rather in the way that Reagan influenced world economics and politics for over 20 years.Read More »

The Silent Chinese Invasion of Australia

Respected thinker Clive Hamilton’s new book, ‘The Silent Invasion:  China’s Influence in Australia’, is very scary essential reading.  This book’s deep research opened my eyes to China, especially now that Xi is President for life.  It’s essential reading because it exposes so much that has long term impacts.  If we don’t recognise these factors soon, it may be too late.Read More »

Rethinking Recycling, as China Pulls the Plug

Following the irony of environmental leader China (??) refusing to be the recipient of the world’s ‘recycling’ rubbish, Australian government responses seem to be:  ‘OMG, we’ll have to stop recycling’.  Another chance for Australia to be a world leader looks like going begging.  Surely there’s a better response than putting our head in the sand, as plastic and other recyclable products pile up on ocean beaches, in fish and in us, all over the world.Read More »

Brexit: From Great Britain to Little England

To an outsider, the difference between being in Britain and Europe is striking.  In Brtain, people talk about ‘Europe’ as if it were a foreign place.  In Germany, France, Spain, Italy and other EU countries, ‘Europe’ is something they belong to, even if they also have a stronger allegiance to their own country.

‘Britain’ and ‘Europe’:  different perspectives

The Brits never seemed to really embrace being ‘European’, even after 40 years.  They have seemed to still see themselves as a world power, though their power is largely historical now.  There were times when the heads of Germany, France and Britain stood together as the guiding lights of the EU but, under the Comservative Party, they have stood outside, criticised the EU and – without seeming to realise it – become secondary players in the EU, let alone the old imperial world they seem to long for.

The Brexit vote shocked me though.  I believed the bookies.  I thought they’d go to the edge and pull back, as the Scots did when given the chance for independence. But it has happened. And even if the Brits find some way to back out of it now, their reputation in Europe is damaged irreparably.

Which is why Great Britain will become Little England.  They will get their independence back, but they will  cease to be an integral part of the largest market in the world.  Companies wanting to be part of Europe will expand their European subsidiaries rather than their English ones. The Brits will lose their cheap skilled European work force from Eastern European countries as they close their borders to immigration.  They won’t be consulted or counted in the big political decisions made between China, the US and the EU.  The pound and UK stock market will probably drop as financial and economic uncertainties prevail, at least in the short term.  Brits will find all that international travel they love to ‘cheap’ European places will become more expensive, as will imported consumer products.

The strangest part really is that the leaders of Brexit campaign have suddenly departed the stage, when victory was theirs.  This political vacuum – to be filled by unknown future leaders not particularly committed to Brexit themselves – is bizarre and not helpful in building a strong, clear new direction.

Will Little England be better than Great Britain?

But it may not all be bad.  Being a little country can be good, so long as you don’t want to be a big player.  Look at Switzerland, Sweden, Australia.  A falling pound should encourage investment and tourism in the long term.  Foreigners can buy up the country.  Maybe ‘hot’ international funds from Russia, the Middle East, international despots will flow in to buy property and assets that have suddenly become much cheaper (though they have already done this, since the UK refused to join the Euro currency zone).  Tourism hordes will descend on this unique olde worlde place with its royalty still centre stage. International students seeking English language study might choose England over the US, Canada and Australia.

Whether these are the impacts you want is moot, however.  Most countries really want a strong currency, enabling them to buy what they want overseas and have cheap imports.

Transitioning from ‘Great’ to ‘Little’

But if you have been a ‘big’ player on the world stage, it’s not easy to adjust to being a small player.  And being independent sounds powerful, but it’s not, in this interconnected world.  To be powerful, you  can’t withdraw.  You have to interact with others, play the main game, not a secondary game.  Compromise, not take your bat and ball and go home.  Be diplomatic, not throw sand in the face of your peers.

So, Great Britain, welcome to being Little England.  Being insignificant in the world.  You could have been powerful, but you chose not to be.  You could have been admired, but you chose not to be.  It’s a long way back to the top when you are on the way down.  Just ask the Greeks, Romans, Norwegians and Austro-Hungarians.

 

Iraq War Championship Results: Australia 3 UK 179 US 4,500 Iraq 500,000

The European football championship is almost over.  22 teams have lost and only France and Portugal are left, though it is possible to argue that Iceland and Wales are winners, given their expectations.  But an analysis of the 10 year long (some would argue still continuing) Iraq War Championship – the Chilcot Report – was released this week.  Many have wondered just who ‘won’ this event, but Chilcot made it clear.  Everyone lost.  And Chilcot explained why.Read More »